Old People Don't Like Obama
So Hillary Clinton won big in Pennsylvania yesterday. And reports indicate that her win was fueled by a massive push from blue collar, rural, and senior voters of the state, while Obama again led in the African American vote.
Considering how much I hated being randomly accused of racism the other day, is it hypocritical to suggest that there may be less racial tolerance in predominantly white rural areas, among predominantly white, lower educated (and lower income) groups, and in predominantly white citizens who spent their formative years in the era before the Civil Rights movement had ended segregation?
I mean, using racism as an excuse for Hillary's win is probably simplifying things greatly. But if it did play a part in Tuesday's numbers, I'm not sure what this will mean if Obama gets the chance to go up against old, white John McCain.
It's just something to think about, especially if you're one of those people who thinks race became a non-issue as soon as Halle Barry and Denzel Washington both won Oscars in the same year.
This Fall, we may get to see how much progress we've really made on that "non-issue."
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I think, at this point, the "electability" question is a dead tie toss-up. Clinton does well in the "rust belt" of the industrial Midwest and Obama owns the Mountain West. I think, from an Electoral College perspective, we're looking at the same candidate, votes-wise.
What's stunning is that a sitting President has a 69% disapproval rating and his party's candidate is still polling at roughly 45%. McCain is unnaturally high given the fact that he's up against "Democrat to be named later" and Clinton and Obama are both depressed for the same reason.
I think either will do fine in the general, but I think Obama's positives are stronger than Clinton's negatives, meaning I think he's the uniter, she's the divider.
Plus, from a math geek perspective she needs to win 71% of the remaining delegates - both super and primary - to get to even with Obama. Neither likely hits the magic number 2024, but I'd say Obama is the nominee.